Every day Information Nuggets At present’s high tales for gold and silver buyers  
December 18th, 2025 

 

Inflation Cools Extra Than Anticipated in November 

Shopper costs rose 2.7% year-over-year in November, coming in beneath the three.1% economists had forecast and up solely barely from October’s 2.6%. Core inflation (excluding meals and power) additionally stunned to the draw back at 2.6% versus expectations of three.0%. The softer-than-expected studying got here after a authorities shutdown disrupted October information assortment, leaving markets with out a clear month-to-month comparability. 

Housing prices stay the sticky element, accounting for almost 40% of November’s enhance, although the tempo of shelter inflation is displaying indicators of cooling. Markets reacted positively, with futures rallying on expectations that the Fed will proceed with one other quarter-point minimize at subsequent week’s assembly. 

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Economists Elevate Crimson Flags Over November’s Inflation Knowledge 

Whereas November’s 2.7% inflation studying seems to be encouraging, economists are urging warning—some saying it’s “onerous to take this information critically.” The federal government shutdown disrupted information assortment all through October and into mid-November, forcing the Bureau of Labor Statistics to depend on statistical assumptions which will have distorted the numbers. 

Housing prices—which make up a 3rd of the index—confirmed suspiciously low inflation, with Harvard economist Jason Furman noting the BLS seemingly made “an enormous judgment error” by successfully assuming zero inflation in October. Different oddities: seasonally adjusted fuel costs rose regardless that precise costs fell, and daycare prices out of the blue dropped. 

“Take it with the complete salt shaker,” Wells Fargo economists warned. The consensus: look forward to December’s information (due January 13) earlier than drawing conclusions. The one dependable vibrant spot? Fuel costs have fallen beneath $3 nationally for the primary time in over 4 years. 

 

Trump Publicizes $1,776 Navy Bonus — However The place’s the Cash? 

President Trump introduced a one-time “Warrior Dividend” of $1,776 for about 1.45 million U.S. navy service members, totaling round $2.5 billion. The symbolic quantity honors the nation’s founding 12 months, and Trump framed the fee as a reward funded by tariff revenues, which have introduced in over $200 billion this 12 months. 

Nevertheless, the transfer raises questions. It’s unclear how the administration will applicable the funds with out prior Congressional approval — a possible constitutional subject that might complicate the rollout. Protection Secretary Pete Hegseth structured the fee as a “one-time housing allowance complement” for service members in pay grades O-6 and beneath. 

Whereas the announcement performs properly politically, the funding mechanics stay murky. For fiscal hawks, it’s one other reminder that tariff revenues — usually cited to justify new spending — nonetheless require legislative approval earlier than they are often deployed. 

ECB Holds Regular, Indicators Confidence in European Development 

The European Central Financial institution saved rates of interest unchanged at 2.0% for the fourth consecutive assembly at the moment, holding agency after eight charge cuts earlier within the 12 months introduced borrowing prices down from 4%. The choice was extensively anticipated, however what caught consideration had been the upgraded financial projections: the ECB now sees eurozone progress at 1.4% in 2025, up from a earlier estimate of 1.2%. 

The catch? Inflation forecasts had been additionally revised increased for 2026, with providers inflation proving stickier than policymakers anticipated. ECB President Christine Lagarde emphasised that the central financial institution is in a “good place” and would proceed taking a data-dependent, meeting-by-meeting strategy—code for “we’re not reducing or mountain climbing anytime quickly.” 

For valuable metals, the ECB’s pause retains eurozone financial coverage supportive with out fueling contemporary inflation considerations. So long as central banks globally stay in easing mode, gold and silver profit from compressed actual yields and weakening fiat currencies. 

 

Silver’s Historic Rally Sparks Revenue-Taking Debate 

Silver’s breathtaking 120%+ rally in 2025 — breaking its 1980 all-time excessive and surging previous $60 per ounce — has sparked a heated debate amongst analysts. Some are actually calling for buyers to lock in good points, pointing to historic patterns displaying that years with triple-digit returns are sometimes adopted by poor efficiency within the subsequent twelve months. 

However not everybody’s able to faucet out. Mike Maloney and Alan Hibbard at GoldSilver each consider 2026 might be the 12 months silver hits triple digits, pushed by persistent provide deficits, surging industrial demand from photo voltaic and EV sectors, and continued safe-haven shopping for. Financial institution of America just lately raised its 12-month goal to $65, whereas some bullish forecasts see silver climbing to $75-$100 if financial easing and greenback weak spot proceed. 

For long-term holders, any pullbacks could also be seen as shopping for alternatives — however short-term merchants would possibly take chips off the desk after such a historic run.